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EURUSD went sideways in the last few hours, which was expected after completed five wave rally. That five wave rally was most-likely a black wave iii as current 40 pip range trading appears to be a triangle, so it can be only wave four if we consider that market is trading impulsively higher today. With that in mind, pair could easily reach new high around 1.3130 in Asian trade if not earlier.

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Gregor Horvat
Chief  Technical Strategist  

AUDUSD turned sharply lower and made a daily close beneath rising trend-line connected from March lows. We also need to consider that decline from 1.0580 is looking impulsive; strong and large move in a very short period of time. As such, this leg must be part of a larger bearish sequence that should unfold minimum in three waves. Ideally we will see a zig-zag down in wave (Y) of a complex wave E as shown on the updated count. In the very near-term traders who are interested to join the bearish trend may want to keep an eye on that broken trend-line that may turn into a resistance around 1.0420.



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European shares and US pre-market has been trading higher for the last couple of hours and caused some downside on USD and JPY. Earlier we mentioned to our members that we will keep them updated regarding the JPY pairs as there could be some trading opportunity in the near future based on bearish S&P sentiment. Below we have NZDJPY chart where decline can be counted impulsively, so current rally should prove corrective. We would love to be short on that one, but we need three legs up from 80.54. Current minor five wave rally in red labels represents wave (a) of a zig-zag, so more sideways and even upside price action to come.

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