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Video Analysis: USD Index and EURUSD

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Sep 02 2015

EURUSD moved sharply to the upside two weeks back, up to 1.1700 area from where price turned nicely down last week; clearly in five waves. A sharp reversal back beneath 1.1200 area suggests that pair found a top and most likely accomplished a corrective move from March 11, which suggests stronger USD in days ahead.

Below is our latest technical video analysis for the dollar and euro.

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10 year US notes vs S&P500

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Aug 31 2015

10 year notes moved sharply to the upside from Aug 19th when investors lost confidence for higher US interest rates during the FOMC Meeting minutes. At that time the S&P500 fell sharply from 2100 and continued down in days ahead, while 10-year US notes were rising. Well, notice that last week 10 year notes turned down back to the levels from Aug 19th while S&P500 did not! This shows gap on the S&P500 which is lagging. That said, just be aware of more upside on the US markets.  Anyhow, keep an eye on 1923 figure on E-mini S&P500 (Sep 2015); if this one is broken then price will likely make a room for a new leg down.

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10 year vs S&P500 4h

USD Bulls May Not Be Done Yet

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Aug 26 2015

USD index is trading lower for the last few months but on the daily chart we still see a retracement as a corrective fourth wave. We are tracking a flat correction because of three waves down in (A), three up in (B) and now current strong sell-off is normal for impulsive wave (C). In fact we see price retracing into 38.2-50% Fibonacci levels compared to wave three, which is actually ideal Fibonacci zone for a base of current fourth wave. That said, it would definitely be too soon and too early to call any long-term top on the dollar. However, current strong bearish sentiment on intraday chart can send USD Index to around 90 psychological level before we may finally see a new bounce higher.
We would give up on this view only if price would fall sharply through 89 figure!

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USDTRY FInal Wave Within Uptrend

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Aug 14 2015

Dollar is bullish when compared to Turkish Lira but we see move out from a triangle in wave (iv) as shown on the 2h chart, which means that uptrend can be in final stages to complete wave 5-circle on a daily chart. Ideally near 2.8800-2.9000. So for the short-term traders there can be still some room for longs after coming black subwave iv.

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USDTRY, Daily


UDSTRY, 2H



GBPJPY Update II: Running Triangle

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Aug 10 2015

GBPJPY has turned down last week, but notice that weakness occurred after a completed three wave rise from 191.00 to around 195.30. This is a corrective structure that belongs to a bigger and more complex pattern. Our primary scenario shows idea of a triangle placed in wave (b)-circled so uptrend could still continue but after wave (e) is done.

Below it's an updated count from article published on Aug 04. Click here

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GBPJPY, 4h


GBPJPY Remains Bullish For A New High

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 Aug 04 2015

GBPJPY has been bullish for the last three years, we see an impulsive structure unfolding. Impulse is a five wave move and when this is completed we can expect a three wave retracement. In our case that means big three waves to the downside on GBPJPY. However at the moment we see final leg in this impulsive sequence unfolding. We are tracking red wave (5) that can be an ending diagonal with a new high coming to around 197. On the intraday chart we see a three wave setback that can be looking for a support near 192.50-193.00. Idealy market will turn up from this region while invalidation level 191.00 must hold.

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GBPJPY, Daily


GBPJPY, 4H


GBPJPY, 2H



Intraday - Morning Video Analysis

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July 23 2015

Intraday Morning Updates in Video format. Please click below for our view on EURUSD, USDJPY, DAX and S&P500.



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My Swing trades since March 2014. Everything was shared with our members.
Grega



Just few hints;
#1 trade small size,
#2 targets always open (market can always surprise)
#3 protect profits by moving stops
#4 review and adjust stops only once per day but at the same time ( with this you will avoid intraday noise)

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