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GBPUSD : Corrective Recovery Is Pointing Lower

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Sep 24 2015

Pound is falling sharply away from 1.5657 area where we were looking for a bearish reversal last week as we were tracking move from September lows as a temporary recovery. Well, latest decline out of a corrective channel and beneath 1.5327 wave B swing low confirmed end of a zigzag at recent high. That said, a whole corrective bounce from 1.5160 should be fully retraced which means that pound will fall further. However, we may see some minor rally to around 1.5330 resistance before downtrend may resume.

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GBPUSD ,4H





USDJPY : Triangle Can Send Prices Higher

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Sep 23 2015

USDJPY has turned down last week so looks like that wave B is still unfolding which can be a triangle that is now near completion. That said, pair is expected to break higher, above 122.00 that can happen soon as we already see five needed subwaves in a triangle formation. Break above blue wave (d) will confirm higher prices for wave C.

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USDJPY, 4H

EURUSD Intraday Video: Bears Are Here

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Sep 21 2015

Below is our video update for the USD and EUR. It seems that US currency can continue higher soon.

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AUDUSD Is Turning Up

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Sep 15 2015

We are looking at blue wave 5-cirlced, which consist out of five sub waves and seems completed. That said price could now be facing a correction. When the upper channel line is taken out we will be looking at a bounce back to previous red wave (4) that is around 0.7435 area.

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AUDUSD, Daily

 

Update II: Dollar Has A Bullish Path

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Sep 10 2015

USD Index turned sharply up from 92.50 at the end of August, clearly in five waves which means that dollar is back on bullish track. That said, any downward retracement should be temporary and corrective. On the 4h chart we are tracking a wave 2) pullback which is now approaching an important support at 95.20 of a wave four of one lesser degree. Ideally market will turn up from there into a new bullish impulse. At the same time we also see a head and shoulder pattern, currently with right shoulder near completion. In that case an upward continuation will be confirmed once neckline is broken around 96.40.

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USD INDEX, 4H








WTI CRUDE OIL Is Turning Up

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Sep 09 2015

WTI moved sharply from August low; it recovered around 30% in just five days, so move was very agresive. From an Elliott Wave perspective impulses are sharp; these are structured by five subwaves which tells us where the market is headed. To me it tells that temporary low is in place and that price will recover with minimum three waves above $50.

On the 4h chart below we can clear see five waves up, which is big wave (a) or (i) as part of a big incompelte wave recovery. A sharp turn down from 49.30 last week suggests that WTI accomplished wave (a)/(i) and that market is in now in corrective pullback of a higher degree. We are tracking wave (b) as labeled on the chart, which can be headed down to 41-43 area where we see nice support level. At 42.00 it’s wave c)=a) which comes in around very important 61.8% Fibonacci zone. That’s ideal area then for a possible bounce that can happen this month, when traders can be looking for longs. We will be looking for a move up, back to $50 per barrel as long as 37.70 is not breached.

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WTI CRUDE OIL 4H



Video Analysis: USD Index and EURUSD

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Sep 02 2015

EURUSD moved sharply to the upside two weeks back, up to 1.1700 area from where price turned nicely down last week; clearly in five waves. A sharp reversal back beneath 1.1200 area suggests that pair found a top and most likely accomplished a corrective move from March 11, which suggests stronger USD in days ahead.

Below is our latest technical video analysis for the dollar and euro.

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