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USDTRY FInal Wave Within Uptrend

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Aug 14 2015

Dollar is bullish when compared to Turkish Lira but we see move out from a triangle in wave (iv) as shown on the 2h chart, which means that uptrend can be in final stages to complete wave 5-circle on a daily chart. Ideally near 2.8800-2.9000. So for the short-term traders there can be still some room for longs after coming black subwave iv.

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USDTRY, Daily


UDSTRY, 2H



GBPJPY Update II: Running Triangle

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Aug 10 2015

GBPJPY has turned down last week, but notice that weakness occurred after a completed three wave rise from 191.00 to around 195.30. This is a corrective structure that belongs to a bigger and more complex pattern. Our primary scenario shows idea of a triangle placed in wave (b)-circled so uptrend could still continue but after wave (e) is done.

Below it's an updated count from article published on Aug 04. Click here

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GBPJPY, 4h


GBPJPY Remains Bullish For A New High

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 Aug 04 2015

GBPJPY has been bullish for the last three years, we see an impulsive structure unfolding. Impulse is a five wave move and when this is completed we can expect a three wave retracement. In our case that means big three waves to the downside on GBPJPY. However at the moment we see final leg in this impulsive sequence unfolding. We are tracking red wave (5) that can be an ending diagonal with a new high coming to around 197. On the intraday chart we see a three wave setback that can be looking for a support near 192.50-193.00. Idealy market will turn up from this region while invalidation level 191.00 must hold.

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GBPJPY, Daily


GBPJPY, 4H


GBPJPY, 2H



Intraday - Morning Video Analysis

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July 23 2015

Intraday Morning Updates in Video format. Please click below for our view on EURUSD, USDJPY, DAX and S&P500.



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My Swing trades since March 2014. Everything was shared with our members.
Grega



Just few hints;
#1 trade small size,
#2 targets always open (market can always surprise)
#3 protect profits by moving stops
#4 review and adjust stops only once per day but at the same time ( with this you will avoid intraday noise)

USDNOK Moving Higher In Impulsive Fashion

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July 06 2015
USDNOK has been trading in impulsive fashion the last couple of days, reaching new highs after the correction in previous black wave (ii). We assume that USDNOK will continue to the upside to Target level #1 to around 8.15-8.17 where third leg would equal to the first leg of black wave (i). But ideally we will see an extensions up to 161.8% (ideal target) for black wave (iii).
We see price trading above the trendline support shown on the hourly chart which is important evidence for bullish trend. So as long as this line is not breached we will continue to look higher within a black wave three.

USDNOK, 4h


USDNOK, 1H



CRB Commodity Index Remains Bearish

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June 24 2015

One of the reasons why USD can gain more and why commodities and commodity currencies will stay under pressure is on *Thomson Reuters Commodity Index (CRB) where I see a completed three wave rise; a corrective move that is pointing for more weakness in weeks ahead.



*The Jefferies | TR/J CRB Global Commodity Equity Index measures the performance of equity securities of a global universe of listed companies engaged in the production and distribution of commodities and commodity-related products and services in the agriculture, base/industrial metals, energy and precious metals sectors.

Source: www.etfdb.com

DOW Transportations: Correction May Be Over

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June 20 2015

On the weekly chart of DOW Transportations index we can see that market has been trading bullish since the star of 2012. It has already made four waves up, with blue wave 4 in final stages. On the Daily chart we see that price made a new leg down in blue wave (c), thus completing the correction in red wave y of blue wave 4. But still Blue wave (c) may continue to the downside, if we include the possibility of ending diagonal in blue wave (c). Nonetheless price may turn higher in weeks ahead.
When market will reach a new high with blue wave 5 we will be looking for a larger corrective retracement, probably later this year.

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DOW Transportations, Monthly


DOW Transportations, Weekly


DOW Transportations, Daily




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