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Crude Oil Strongly Bearish

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May 09

WOW, some very strong encouraging bearish waves we see on oil, which definitely confirms a top in this market. We were anticipating a reversal here, which is now in full progress, targeting wave 2) support and even start of an ending diagonal after that, which was in February, around 83.

Any pullback against yesterdays losses, should be only temporary correction within current bearish leg.





Here is the chart that subscribers received on Monday, May 2nd!



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Eur/Usd On The Rise

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May 02 2011 04:40EDT

The Top story today is definitely death of Osama bin Laden, which caused some mixed moves across the markets. We saw lower reaction on commodities but some strength on stocks and dollar.

Generally speaking, the FX quotes are very calm as London markets are closed today, but we really need to consider a bullish continuation on stocks when US session gets underway. Death of Osama bin Laden is good and big news for the States, and US investors as well! If we are correct, then higher stocks should support the Eur/usd pair…

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Eur/Usd is trapped in a 120 pip range for three days now, which still appears to be a corrective wave four pull-back, identified by a three wave pull-back from 1.4880. Bullish trend remains in tact, with wave v) levels seen above 1.49 and maybe even around 1.5 psychological target!

Critical/invalidation region is at 1.4647!



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S&P Futures Up to 1340

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Apr 20 2011

With higher commodities, higher stocks traders are selling the US dollar across the board, pushing Eur/Usd into a new 2011 highs. Traders, this bullish run on majors have legs, so buying pull-backs and selling US dollar at the same time is reasonable.

S&P Futures are trading sharply higher showing an impulsive advance from 1290 lows, where three waves of a pull-back found the bottom. For those who are trading E-mini futures (June contract) may focus on longs, after minor three waves of a pull-back towards 1318 region, to catch wave v). This outlook supports the bearish dollar view.




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OIL: Significant Top In Place Or Just Temporary Reversal!?

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Oil made a huge reversal in this week from $110 per barrel. A Decline shows evidence of an impulse, which in Elliott Wave theory means a change in trend. In the next video, we will take a detailed technical outlook for oil, and why we think top is in place.

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Cable In Impulsive Advance

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Yesterday we sent out this chart to our subscribers, mentioned that new highs are approaching for Gbp/usd.

Well, pair advanced perfectly during Asian session once the triangle completed. We know that triangle unfolds just prior to the FINAL wave of a the larger pattern, and as such, prices will likely slow down in sessions ahead, since our blue wave (v) is a final wave of an extended back wave 3. Strong resistance is seen at 1.6400/30 region, where 161.8% Fibonacci extension level is shown; typical wave 3 target. Keep in mind that 1.6400 region was also top of March 2011. As such, watch for a corrective reversal in the near future, which will be a wave 4, but still part of a larger incomplete bullish pattern. Break below red support line of a rising channel will be important evidence of anticipated wave 4.

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S&P500 Targets 1400

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Apr 05 2011

Hello traders!

The S&P 500 was higher in the past week, about we also warned  our subscribers few weeks ago when we mentioned that move from the high is still in three waves! Well, recently market moved well above 1300 region and formed an important overlap on the intra-day basis which invalidated any bearish interpretations. In fact, we can clearly see that prices found the recent lows exactly at the upper base channel line and reacted as a support, which appears very often in fourth waves!

With this being said, we believe that new highs are underway, with wave (5) targeting 1370 and 1400 regions.

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Is Euro headed lower against the majors in 2011!?

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Mar 30 2011

Hello traders!

The FX market has seen some powerful moves over the past few days especially on Aud/Usd, which reached new highs around 1.0300.
Well, Australian dollar has also strengthened against the other currencies as well, such as Eur per example, since Eur/Usd remained trapped in 220 pip range. The Eur/Aud lost 700 pips in the last few days, but the analysis suggests that pair is headed much lower in 2011, with impulsive formation, potentially even down to 1.2900, 2010 lows.

Click on the video below and see our detailed analysis for Eur/Aud, and also for Eur/Cad, Gbp/Jpy and Eur/Gbp….

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*This is a free content, taken from www.ew-forecast.com members area

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