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Dollar Index: Weekly Spike Reversal

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Feb 06

After a significant five wave reversal on dollar index intra-day chart from 76.85 region, we decided to look on the weekly chart, which is showing a very bullish set-up for the weeks ahead. You will notice a trend line connected from early 2008 which holds dollar index up for almost 3 years now. In fact, each time the prices moved close to a trend line, a weekly spike occurred, which then sent the US dollar higher. May this scenario repeat!?

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Video: Dollar Index outlook ahead the NFP

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Feb 04 2011

US dollar reversed yesterday from 76.86 region, where a five wave decline from the 81.32 highs may have already found the bottom. The most important fact is that prices moved above the upper resistance line of a trading channel, which usually signals for a change in trend. As such, further upside will not be a surprise, and a potential break above 78.32 region will confirm a temporary bullish scenario of the US dollar.

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Elliott Wave Video: Eur/Aud, Hang Seng Index

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Feb 02 2011

Euro is showing a very strong picture across the board, already since start of January. This currency is also showing a significant recovery against the Australian dollar, which is quite interesting if we consider that Euro was one of the weakest while the Australian dollar was one of the strongest currencies in 2010. In video bellow Grega Horvat will present you a detailed outlook of a current situation on Eur/Aud and what to expect in the near future, and on which levels we should pay attention on.

He will also make a quick outlook of the Hang Seng Index.

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Oil Prices Ready To break Above $93

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Feb 02 2011

Oil prices reached new lows of the session recently but on a very thin volume, with price remain trapped in a downward corrective channel. In fact, a decline looks quite choppy and slow and as such we favor a bullish continuation once a possible double zig-zag correction completes. Key level for bullish acceleration comes in around 92/92.40!

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How to Use Channels In Elliott Wave Theory

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Dec 29 2010

In this time of the year, a lot of traders are away from their trading desks as markets can be very tricky and hard to predict. As such, we at www.ew-forecast.com decided to record an educational video which may help to a lot of traders, especially those who are using an Elliott Wave Principle.

In today’s video we will show you how channels can help you to identify a direction and strength of a market moves, combined with Elliott Wave technique. The most important question in Elliott Theory is: “Is this only a corrective retracement (correction) or start of a new trend (impulse)?! Well, channeling method presented in the video can definitely help you with that, which will also be used on Aud/Usd pair.

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VIX Testing Levels From 2008

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Jan 27 2011

Below we can see VIX chart. This is a volatility index of the S&P500; actually measures an “investor’s fear” in current market conditions. The greater the fear is, the higher the VIX level will be. If the fear decreasing in the market than you will see VIX falling; like in our case. The results of course, are higher stock prices; higher S&P500. VIX is at very low price right now, and S&P 500 is very high, so we can say that trade is “overcrowded”, because there is no fear in the market and a lot of investors are buying it. But as you know, usually when something is overcrowded the opposite reaction follows. In our case this would be on the upside.

From a technical perspective, we can see a triangle on VIX chart before market fell into a new low. But since the VIX is in a downtrend we know that triangle can be placed only in wave 4, because triangle can never appear in wave 2.

And here is the next important fact from an Elliott Wave perspective: “triangles unfold just prior to the final move in the larger pattern”. So, wave 5 must be a final move as shown on our chart, which means that reversal from the lows should follow in the near term; at least into a higher correction, because after every five waves temporary change in trend occurs!

So, if we are on the right track here, then top on the S&P500 is also near. Market is currently testing 1300 psychological level…



In 2008, before the stock market collapsed VIX hit the lows around 16.



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Building Wealth In The Trading Business

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Aug 23 2010

Everyone would love their money to grow so that despite inflation their standard of living can improve. There is no better way to do it than investing in trading business. There are many options of trading to make good money. The trading you can grow your investments faster than the inflation which is the most important idea.

When it comes to investing your money there are some popular areas that are commonly used today. The first is the stock markets where people deal with stocks of the companies. The others are financial markets where actual currencies are traded. You have two options: the FOREX trading happens on a wide range of currencies where as the dollar trading is based on dollars.

Stock trading is a very well known business where you are trading stocks. Stocks are in general percentage ownership of the company. So when you buy stocks you are buying some ownership in the company. The idea behind the stock is that if the company performs well, they will share the profits and hence people are willing to pay for its ownership.

With currency trading like FOREX trading, a similar approach is taken towards currencies. Based on the government holdings, borrowing, loans, trade, etc the currency exchange rate between two nations changes regularly. People can tap into these changes to make money.

Sometimes the currencies are not traded in local exchange but in their dollar equivalents. This is kind of trading is called dollar trading.

In all these trading opportunities you are taking a risk based on speculation. You expect the rate or value to go up while there is no guarantee it would. However, it is this speculation that drives these markets and if you play it to the market trends and sentiments you can make decent returns on your investment.

Have you ever heard of Elliott Wave Financial Service? We know how to get business done. Follow us on Twitter today!


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