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OIL: Significant Top In Place Or Just Temporary Reversal!?

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Oil made a huge reversal in this week from $110 per barrel. A Decline shows evidence of an impulse, which in Elliott Wave theory means a change in trend. In the next video, we will take a detailed technical outlook for oil, and why we think top is in place.

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Cable In Impulsive Advance

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Yesterday we sent out this chart to our subscribers, mentioned that new highs are approaching for Gbp/usd.

Well, pair advanced perfectly during Asian session once the triangle completed. We know that triangle unfolds just prior to the FINAL wave of a the larger pattern, and as such, prices will likely slow down in sessions ahead, since our blue wave (v) is a final wave of an extended back wave 3. Strong resistance is seen at 1.6400/30 region, where 161.8% Fibonacci extension level is shown; typical wave 3 target. Keep in mind that 1.6400 region was also top of March 2011. As such, watch for a corrective reversal in the near future, which will be a wave 4, but still part of a larger incomplete bullish pattern. Break below red support line of a rising channel will be important evidence of anticipated wave 4.

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S&P500 Targets 1400

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Apr 05 2011

Hello traders!

The S&P 500 was higher in the past week, about we also warned  our subscribers few weeks ago when we mentioned that move from the high is still in three waves! Well, recently market moved well above 1300 region and formed an important overlap on the intra-day basis which invalidated any bearish interpretations. In fact, we can clearly see that prices found the recent lows exactly at the upper base channel line and reacted as a support, which appears very often in fourth waves!

With this being said, we believe that new highs are underway, with wave (5) targeting 1370 and 1400 regions.

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Is Euro headed lower against the majors in 2011!?

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Mar 30 2011

Hello traders!

The FX market has seen some powerful moves over the past few days especially on Aud/Usd, which reached new highs around 1.0300.
Well, Australian dollar has also strengthened against the other currencies as well, such as Eur per example, since Eur/Usd remained trapped in 220 pip range. The Eur/Aud lost 700 pips in the last few days, but the analysis suggests that pair is headed much lower in 2011, with impulsive formation, potentially even down to 1.2900, 2010 lows.

Click on the video below and see our detailed analysis for Eur/Aud, and also for Eur/Cad, Gbp/Jpy and Eur/Gbp….

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*This is a free content, taken from www.ew-forecast.com members area

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Usd/Chf Weakness

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Mar 16 2011

Usd/Chf moved lower as expected, fell sharply into a wave 5 leg once a contracting triangle was finished around 0.9370. We know that triangle appears prior to the final move of the larger pattern. If that is the case, then our wave 5 must be a final leg of an impulsive decline from 0.9770 region, which means that temporary lows are likely very near. We also know that after every five wave structure, makret forms at least three waves in the opposite direction.

Generally speaking, bears are losing strenght, so do not be surprised if pair reverses from the lows in coming sessions/days.

Huge support and psychological level stands at 0.9000/100 region.


*This is a free content, taken from www.ew-forecast.com members area

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Nikkei and Hang Seng Index Video

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Mar 14 2011

Asian markets were mixed today, but Nikkei was down more than 6%. The reason for this move is of course profit taking on the stock market, as people need money to pay for the damages. In the next video we will take a look at the Nikkei and Hang Seng



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Oil Price Reversal from $100/110 Resistance

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Mar 14 2011

Oil prices were sharply higher in recent weeks, gained well above $100 per barrel. Since this level was reached crowd become very bullish, someone are even calling $200 per barrel, but usually exactly the opposite reaction follows.

Technically speaking, we know that market is just in a corrective retrace, that reached 61.8% retracement level against the leg seen in 2008. This Fibonacci level is very typical reversal zone for B) waves, and since we can count only three waves up from $33, we are very confident that recovery is just temporary and that bearish reversal will follow in months ahead. As such, we must pay attention to lower time frames now where powerful impulsive decline from a top will confirm a bearish case!


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