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Usd/Jpy Starts A New Bearish Cycle

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Jan 31 2012

Usd/Jpy made some important breakout in the past sessions, when falling below 76.50 lows and also below red support line, connected from October 2011. In fact, decline is impulsive, so we think that wave E) already accomplished wave (X) triangle at 78.27 and that pair will now continue lower. Currently, wave 1 is in progress, which may find the low around 76 area, and then send prices into a minor corrective wave 2 which will ideally test and then reverse from that red broken trend line.





Dollar Is Headed Even Lower In Coming Weeks

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Jan 29 2012

A sharp fall from 81.80 area seen in the past few weeks is impulsive, which means that we have a temporary top in place, likely of a wave I, which was an expanding diagonal. That is type of a motive wave, where structure allows overlap between waves four and one. With this being said, at least three waves of a pull-back is now underway within wave two, which will ideally reach 50-61.8% retracement area and then reverse from.



Time to be Long Crude!?

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January 26 2012

Oil found the support in this week around 97.45, where could be a start of a new impulsive bullish cylce after some choppy and overlapping downward price action seen lately. Notice the recent swing also occurred from 50% Fibo support, which in many cases provides important reversals in trend. As such, we suspect that prices will revisit January highs, but we still need to see a break through the falling channel resistance line and 102 swing high that will lock the current lows!





Euro And Cable: Temporary Recovery

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Jan 22 2012

EUR/USD
A rally in this past week through falling trend line connected from 1.425 top suggests that an impulsive wave (1) is finished and that larger corrective pull-back is underway.This is a blue wave (2), which must be subdivided by three legs before we may look for a downtrend continuation again. Nice resistance/reversal area for this wave (2) comes in at 1.3200-1.3500 range!



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GBP/USD
Cable rallied sharply in this past week with an increasing bullish momentum and the weekly close, which in fact also broke through falling trend line as shown on the chart. As such, we decided to adjust the wave count into more liekly scenario; incomplete wave 2) expanded flat formation. In this case price will rally above 1.5770 wave A top in coming week.



Usd/Chf: Intra-day Moves Looking For A Support In 0.9300-0.9330 Area

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Jan 19 2012

Usd/Chf was not clear lately. In fact, even 4h chart still did not confirm if we have a top in place already or not. However, the hourly line chart is showing a very nice clean wave structure that is five waves, called an impulse wave. As such, the minimum expectations will be a three waves of a pull-back, which will get underway once channel resistance line is broken. Why three waves!? Becasue after every five waves, correction follows as Elliott Theory says. And we also know that corrections are always structured minimum by three legs!
We will be looking for wave v) low in 0.9330/0.9300 area.





Video: Eur/Usd vs. Eur/Jpy Forecast Example

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Jan 15 2011

Check the next video, which is just one small piece of analysis that we shared with our subscribers in this past week. In this video you will find out "how and when", "we or you can" become more confident into your analysis and forecasting in currency markets, which potentially can improve your success in trading. We think, that intra-market analysis and correlations, key market levels and patience are three very if not the most important facts. Check out video below for more details.



Cable: Bearish Scenario For 2012

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Jan 10 2011

A decline from 2008 pick into 2009 low was in five waves, which in Elliott Wave theory indicates a direction of a larger trend. This is called an impulse wave, and once this leg is complete you will see a reversal in price, against the trend, normally into a slow, choppy and overlapping price action which is personality of a correction. Well, this is exactly what we are seeing on cable since 2009. As such, we are very confident that pair is trapped in a corrective pattern, triangle which in fact may have already ended at 1.61. In such case, a sharp weakness will follow in 2012, with prices headed below 1.35!

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