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Usd/Chf: Intra-day Moves Looking For A Support In 0.9300-0.9330 Area

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Jan 19 2012

Usd/Chf was not clear lately. In fact, even 4h chart still did not confirm if we have a top in place already or not. However, the hourly line chart is showing a very nice clean wave structure that is five waves, called an impulse wave. As such, the minimum expectations will be a three waves of a pull-back, which will get underway once channel resistance line is broken. Why three waves!? Becasue after every five waves, correction follows as Elliott Theory says. And we also know that corrections are always structured minimum by three legs!
We will be looking for wave v) low in 0.9330/0.9300 area.





Video: Eur/Usd vs. Eur/Jpy Forecast Example

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Jan 15 2011

Check the next video, which is just one small piece of analysis that we shared with our subscribers in this past week. In this video you will find out "how and when", "we or you can" become more confident into your analysis and forecasting in currency markets, which potentially can improve your success in trading. We think, that intra-market analysis and correlations, key market levels and patience are three very if not the most important facts. Check out video below for more details.



Cable: Bearish Scenario For 2012

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Jan 10 2011

A decline from 2008 pick into 2009 low was in five waves, which in Elliott Wave theory indicates a direction of a larger trend. This is called an impulse wave, and once this leg is complete you will see a reversal in price, against the trend, normally into a slow, choppy and overlapping price action which is personality of a correction. Well, this is exactly what we are seeing on cable since 2009. As such, we are very confident that pair is trapped in a corrective pattern, triangle which in fact may have already ended at 1.61. In such case, a sharp weakness will follow in 2012, with prices headed below 1.35!

If you want updates and more technical analysis, then please visit our website here, or follow us on twiter



Oil Prices Headed Up to $105

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Jan 04 2012

Crude oil moved sharply higher yesterday above the previous swing high, which now should put much higher levels in play, since we believe that wave 2) pull-back is finished at 98.16. Notice that price also moved above the neckline of a head and shoulder pattern, which is also an important evidence for an uptrend continuation from a technical point of view. Price may easily reach $105 per barrel in coming sessions.

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Dollar Index Will Trade Higher in 2012

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Dec 29 2011

Dollar index moved significantly higher in the past few weeks after a breakout through the trend line resistance connected from 2010 pick. As such, decline from wave X high is identified as a three wave move, part of a huge corrective wave B/2 that started back in 2008. Notice that the whole price structure from 2008 is trapped between two parallel trend lines and that moves were quite choppy during this period. In fact, recent bullish reversal occurred exactly from the lower support line of that channel, which in many cases is forms an end of a corrective price action. As such, we believe that wave B)/2 is done, which was a complex double three formation and that dollar will trade much higher in coming months if not years, with wave C)/3) towards 88/90 area.




Gold Is NOT A Safe-haven; Now Headed Below 1530

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Dec 29 2011

Commodities are trading lower in this week, while US dollar is rising sharply after reversal lower on equities. One of the very weak markets is also gold, which definitely does not have a status of a safe-haven at this point of time. In fact, if we take a look on the intra-day sub-structure from 1641 high, then we can see some sharp bearish moves, which seems to be an impulsive pattern, but likely incomplete. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we believe that yesterdays sharp decline was wave three, so any bounce in the near-term will be only another corrective leg; wave four of an impulsive. We know that impulses are structured by five sub-waves, so more weakness is expected after a minor pull-back, ideally from 1565.

Our downside price objective is at 1530/1520; September lows.



And below is a short description that our subscribers received on Dec 21st 2011:
  • Gold reversed nicely in the past few sessions, in-line with our expectations, from around 1640 area. A minor fall from the top has an impulsive shape, so we think that top is in and that prices should move lower, especially as market is already trying to break out the support channel line. But to get even more sure about the "top in place", you may also wait on a daily close price action. But in either case, if wave 4 done, then we don't want to see price back above 1642.



"Recorded" Webinar

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Dec 21 2011

Hello traders!

We encourage you to take your time and review a recorded webinar from yesterday "Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory", which was made in cooperation with FXStreet.com.

Speakers:
-Grega Horvat
-Aleksandar Koprivica


Agenda:
-Elliott Wave Introduction
-Basics of the Elliott Wave Theory
-Live Analysis


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